Trump Is More Likely to Get a Third Impeachment Than a Third Term

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

55% : I KNOW SOME WONDER what good an impeachment proceeding will do, especially given that Trump has already survived two and managed a comeback.
54% : The cumulative effect is to normalize lawbreaking, government weaponization, and the politics of revenge, while the Republicans in charge avert their eyes and let everything slide.
53% : Impeachment No. 3 seems inevitable
50% : It also tramples all over the Constitution -- which makes clear that Congress determines how taxpayer money is raised and spent. Get access to all our newsletters and podcasts -- and control which ones show up in your inbox: The second impeachment came after the deadly Capitol riot by Trump supporters on January 6, 2021, the day Congress was finalizing Joe Biden's election victory.
49% : For starters, Trump issued an executive order taking control of "the entire executive branch," including independent regulatory agencies created by Congress, on February 18.
44% : Is Trump up to his old tricks as he begins anew?
40% : No, it was none of that, although Trump's first impeachment arguably was related -- his "perfect" phone call in 2019, as the 2020 election campaign was ramping up, in which he tried to get Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to announce an investigation into Joe and Hunter Biden, "a favor" he strongly implied he needed if Zelensky wanted Trump to invite him to the White House and to release military aid to fend off Russian incursions in eastern Ukraine (money that Congress had already appropriated and Trump had no legal authority to withhold).
38% : Does Trump check any of these boxes?
33% : Trump is still insisting he won the "rigged" 2020 election.
33% : Meanwhile, the people Trump and the Republican Senate have installed to run the departments of Justice, Defense, and Health and Human Services are abysmal failures in areas of huge consequence.
31% : That year, over Johnson's veto, lawmakers passed the Tenure of Office Act barring removal of Senate-confirmed officials without Senate consent.
31% : Has Trump obstructed justice since taking office this year?
31% : The House Judiciary Committee and the full House approved two articles of impeachment charging Trump with "corruptly" soliciting the interference of a foreign government in the 2020 election for his personal gain, as a condition for two official acts, and with telling executive agencies to ignore subpoenas for material and testimony in the House impeachment inquiry.
28% : Though it hasn't been fun, it has been instructive to get granular in measuring Trump against the small sample of presidents who've been impeached or come close to it.
27% : Daniels testified in detail about the alleged encounter, and Trump lawyer Michael Cohen testified that Trump signed off on all aspects of schemes to bury stories about extramarital affairs.
27% : The House impeached him, but the Senate fell ten short of the sixty-seven votes needed to convict Trump and bar him from future office.
25% : So how about Donald Trump siccing the Department of Justice on Act Blue, the Democratic fundraising juggernaut?
25% : Trump has also gone after law firms he sees as enemies -- threatening to cancel federal contracts, suspend security clearances, and bar lawyers from all federal buildings because he doesn't like their clients or their diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) programs.
25% : As for compliance with subpoenas, Trump "directed Executive Branch agencies, offices, and officials not to comply" with House subpoenas in the chamber's 2019 impeachment inquiry, and early signs this time around are not encouraging.
25% : Trump denied in a deposition and in brief testimony last year that he had ever met her, but two juries have found him liable and courts have awarded Carroll tens of millions in damages.
24% : Just before Easter, as Trump approached the 100-day mark, Berkeley law school dean Erwin Chemerinsky told me that "the systematic violation of the Constitution, the use of power openly for retribution, provide a basis for finding high crimes and misdemeanors.
24% : Trump has repeatedly denied he had sex with porn actress Stormy Daniels, but he did not take the stand in last year's hush-money trial.
24% : The jury convicted Trump of 34 felonies in connection with falsifying business records to disguise the payoffs.
24% : If Democrats win a House majority in 2026, Trump would almost certainly face a 2027 impeachment inquiry and his third impeachment.
19% : Instead we get floods of social media posts, illegal executive orders, and Trump talking, and talking, and talking.
16% : Hmmm. To mark Trump's first (worst?) hundred days, I thought it might be fun to look at all the impeachment articles against presidents and figure out how many Trump has already matched or surpassed.
16% : Trump had been threatening to fire Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell, whose term ends on January 31, 2028, but retreated after warnings of economic doom from CEOs and his own advisers.
14% : Has Trump lied about sex or covering it up?
13% : Trump's impeachment double-header Trump was impeached twice during his first presidency, not for scheming to silence Daniels or even for firing FBI Director James Comey -- a firing that came four years into Comey's ten-year term, while he was overseeing an investigation into the Trump campaign's Russia ties, and made it onto special counsel Robert Mueller's top-ten list of ways Trump may have obstructed justice.
11% : Rep. Dan Goldman, a former House aide who was lead counsel in Trump's first impeachment, said on February 19 that Trump had already committed "dozens of impeachable offenses."
11% : Get 30 day free trial ● Bill Clinton was impeached in 1998 for lying under oath to a grand jury and for obstructing justice.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.