Betting markets nailed Trump's decisive win -- and it's a good reminder they can be more accurate than polls

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

50% : The odds slightly narrowed in the few days before, but by the time the first major polls closed at 6 p.m. ET Tuesday evening, the markets showed around 60% odds for Trump.
46% : Trump started showing a solid lead on betting markets like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi in mid-October, and those odds mostly rose in the weeks before Election Day.
22% : What is interesting, however, is that every single margin of error went in favor of Trump.
9% : Miller, who runs election forecasting model The Virtual Tout, points to particularly big swings after President Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed Harris, plus two assassination attempts against Trump.

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