Chuck Todd: The fog of polls hits the 2024 campaign

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

61% : Trump always does better when the personal character question is somewhat neutralized.
47% : Here's a radical thought: What if Biden ignored Trump for the summer and simply concentrated his efforts on rehabbing his own image with voters? When it comes to Biden's ratings, what was once his great strength -- his personal relationship with voters -- is turning into a liability.
45% : As for Trump, he was even more underwater (again, this poll was in the field in the three days after the tape went public), sitting at 30% positive and 63% negative.
43% : Trump is the living example of the famous George Bernard Shaw quote: "Never wrestle with pigs.
41% : But I'm also not sure how going hard negative at Trump right now -- like the Biden campaign did last week with Robert De Niro's news conference and the follow-up TV ad narrated by the actor -- is going to work as long as Biden is also viewed as unfavorably as Trump.
40% : None of them believed a message based around preserving or saving democracy was effective with voters still making up their minds, and none of the Democrats I talked to specifically were huge advocates of Biden making Trump the centerpiece of his re-election campaign.
36% : Biden was plus-13, while Trump was underwater at minus-9 points.
36% : The "double-haters" weren't as large a group and winning or losing them wasn't decisive for him -- though it's worth noting that Biden did win over a majority of voters who viewed both him and Trump negatively.
36% : Look, I know politics ain't beanbag, but there's a time and a place for everything, and I'm not sure these negative hits on Trump will work until Biden improves his own standing with the public first.
35% : It's why, in my estimation, Trump is marginally ahead of Biden right now.
33% : Trump was nearly identical: 38% positive, 53% negative.
32% : I'm not sure what new negative information might be left out there for voters to consider regarding Trump.
28% : In that same poll, then-President Trump had a positive-negative split of 43%-52%.
26% : Trump would climb to 40% positive and 46% negative in our first poll after his election.
25% : Obviously, there's a good amount of negativity baked into Trump; could it get worse?
25% : Ironically, Biden's instinct about dealing with Trump at the start of his term was to barely mention him, only referring to him occasionally as his "predecessor."
24% : Now, Biden is more underwater than Trump was in 2020.
23% : Can Biden win over undecided voters if they personally feel as negatively to him as they do Trump?
8% : If Biden's personal negatives mirror Trump's on Election Day, then he's likely to come up short.

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