Donald Trump's chances of winning election rise with bookmakers

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

65% : In Michigan, Trump led by 3 points with 50 percent against 47 percent for Harris, while in Wisconsin he enjoyed a 2-point lead with 48 percent versus 46 percent.
59% : Wednesday also saw the publication of a Quinnipiac University survey showing Trump ahead in the critical battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin, both of which President Joe Biden won in 2020.
44% : This was a striking contrast with the previous ActiVote survey, conducted between September 11 and 17, which put Trump on 47.3 percent 5.4 points behind Harris on 42.7 percent.
38% : Separately, an ActiVote poll of 1,000 likely voters conducted between October 3 and October 8 gave Trump a 1.2 point lead nationally over Harris, with 50.6 percent of the vote against her 49.4 percent, with a 3.1 point margin of error.
32% : Quinnipiac University also polled 1,412 likely voters in Pennsylvania -- a hotly contested swing state which Trump won in 2016 but lost in 2020 -- during October 3-7.
17% : In a further blow to Harris, a YouGov poll conducted on October 8 found 42 percent of respondents thought Trump would be best placed to deal with a natural disaster if elected president in November, against 40 percent for the current vice president.
14% : Due to the Electoral College system, Harris could win the popular vote in November but lose the election overall, as Hillary Clinton did against Trump in 2016.

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