Headwinds for Trump in persuading Saudi crown prince to agree to normalise ties with Israel

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

55% : He has talked up his push to extend his first term Abraham Accords -- the project that formalised commercial and diplomatic ties between Israel and a trio of Arab nations -- as key to his plan for bringing long-term stability to the Middle East as the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza continues to hold.
50% : "I think it would be folly not to insist that the ultimate integration of these planes into the Saudi order of battle be tied to normalisation and a more fundamental and permanent transformation in Saudi-Israel relations and the regional security landscape," Hannah said.
44% : The searing images of the Israel-Hamas war remain fresh and rebuilding the ravaged territory will be a yearslong effort.
42% : The officials said the administration remains wary about upsetting Israel's "qualitative military advantage" over its neighbours, especially at a time when Trump is depending on Israeli support for the success of his Gaza peace plan.
40% : Ongoing Israeli settler violence against Palestinians in the West Bank has added to regional distrust toward Israel.
38% : Those factors have helped seed the ground for Saudi Arabia and Israel to come to an agreement, Trump argues.
37% : President Donald Trump has not been subtle about how badly he wants to see Saudi Arabia and Israel normalise relations.
37% : Israel and Hamas are making slow progress on the return of remains of the last hostages in Gaza.
36% : Although the crown prince, widely referred to as MBS, has indicated he may be more flexible than his father on the matter, a guaranteed path to a Palestinian state remains a condition and something that Israel vehemently opposes.
24% : But those hopes were dashed first by opposition from the crown prince's father, King Salman, during Trump's first term and then by Prince Mohammed himself after the Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, against Israel that sparked the Gaza war.

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