Kamala Harris gets worrying sign in bellwether Pennsylvania county: Poll

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

56% : In September, Harris was leading Trump in Erie and Northampton counties -- both where outcomes have correctly predicted the overall winner of presidential elections since 2008.
56% : Trump has a slightly bigger lead (48.3 to 48 percent) in polling analyst Nate Silver's presidential model, which was last updated late Saturday morning.
55% : Trump, however, ended up winning Pennsylvania by a small margin of 48.2 to 47.5 percent.
53% : Polls released then by USA Today and Suffolk University showed Trump trailing Harris by 5 points in Northampton County and 4 percentage points in Erie County.
53% : On Election Day in 2020, 538 had now-President Joe Biden, a Democrat, ahead of Trump by over 4 points (50.2 to 45.6 percent), according to its polling averages.
36% : A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll has Harris and Trump tied with 49 percent of the vote each.
34% : Meanwhile, 538 has Harris leading Trump a little over 1 point (48 to 46.8 percent) as of Saturday, while Silver has the vice president slightly ahead of Trump on the national stage (48.5 to 47.4 percent) as of Saturday.
18% : Biden ended up beating Trump in Pennsylvania by a razor-thin margin of 50 to 48.8 percent.
16% : Trump and Harris are faring about the same in Pennsylvania, according to two different poll aggregators.
8% : Biden won Northampton County and Erie County by a narrow 1 percent margin in 2020, while Trump defeated Clinton in 2016 by 4 points in Northampton and 2 points in Erie.

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