More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

60% : Betfair Exchange, the biggest peer-to-peer U.K. betting platform, and Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform have Harris ahead of Trump with leads of 5 and 2 points respectively.
54% : USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll shows Harris ahead in PennsylvaniaIn a poll released on Monday by USA TODAY/Suffolk University, Harris led Trump by three points in Pennsylvania, 49% to 46%.
46% : The poll also found that voters in Pennsylvania have a more favorable view of the vice president compared to Trump, with 49% of voters having a good opinion of Harris and 43% having the same opinion of the former president.
40% : National polling by USA TODAY/Suffolk University shows Harris with leadThe vice president not only leads Trump in Pennsylvania but also leads the race nationally, according to a poll released by USA TODAY/Suffolk University on Monday.
36% : The odds represent a significant change for Trump, who, during the Republican National Convention, had odds of up to 70% on Betfair to win the presidency.
12% : The poll showed Harris leading Trump 47.6% to 43.3% nationally.Harris' lead of more than four points is a stark contrast to a poll conducted in June that showed Trump holding a commanding lead of almost four points over Biden.

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