Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22, 2025

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : The sources stated that the proposal also calls for Ukraine to receive security guarantees, funding for reconstruction, and a path towards “rapid” EU accession.
55% : https://t.me/mod_russia/57765[39] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/warning-the-kremlin-is-preparing-to-mobilize-reservists-on-a-rolling-basis-to-fight-in-ukraine-for-the-first-time/[40] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/warning-the-kremlin-is-preparing-to-mobilize-reservists-on-a-rolling-basis-to-fight-in-ukraine-for-the-first-time/[41] https://understandingwar.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/May20302C2020242C20Russian20Offensive20Campaign20Assessment20PDF.pdf ; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment_12-6/[42] https://t.me/rusich_army/26423[43]
52% : https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025/10/21/trump-no-longer-plans-meet-putin-hungary/ ; https://www.reuters.com/world/no-plans-immediate-trump-putin-meeting-white-house-says-2025-10-21/;[16] https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/no-plans-for-second-trump-putin-summit-soon-as-preparation-stalls-913dbaa9?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqdK0Z5-94rcZ1i_0x-R42l5XnOyIvn53eUgBEO_Lpb70HlW5aZFf2Rf&gaa_ts=68f8eee1&gaa_sig=6_6j43HbOLc5knfi9t9GO1tIyex9yU7laIVbCDWutN1A5xo5Z_gUoQ5NsdWT_A2L7YIApPd6St4GCuvIYDFsyA%3D%3D;[17] https://archive.ph/NnP9c ; https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-reiterated-previous-ukraine-peace-terms-us-private-communique-sources-say-2025-10-21/[18] https://t dot me/tass_agency/345094 ;
49% : Ryabkov demanded that the United States reciprocate Russia’s proposal to extend the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) and claimed that the United States bears responsibility for Russia’s decision to withdraw from the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
45% : ISW continues to assess that the Kremlin is setting conditions to deflect blame for the lack of progress toward a peace settlement onto the EU and the West, despite Russia’s continued adherence to its maximalist war aims that amount to Ukraine’s total capitulation.[25]
28% : Head and Duma Deputy Leonid Slutsky claimed on October 22 that Russian officials continue to prepare for the summit, which Slutsky accused the EU of attempting to disrupt.[22] Russian State Duma International Affairs Committee

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