Kamala Harris' chances of beating Donald Trump in Arizona: recent polls

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

64% : Before Harris became the Democratic Party's nominee for President, Trump had a comfortable lead over Biden in the state, which has voted for a Republican President every year since 1952, except 1996, when Bill Clinton was elected, and 2020, when Joe Biden won.
59% : According to RealClearPolitics, Trump was ahead by 5.8 points at the beginning of July, while he was ahead by 11 points in Nate Silvers tracker, and individual polls put him ahead by up to 15 points.
59% : Meanwhile, a Fox News poll from August 26 showed Trump had support from 36 percent of Hispanic voters in Arizona, compared to Harris' 57 percent.
56% : Nationally, 38 percent of Latinos supported Trump in 2020, up from 28 percent in 2016, according to Pew.
56% : The most recent New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted between September 3 and 6, showed a similar trend, with 41 percent of Hispanic voters choosing Trump and 55 percent choosing Harris.
53% : As Trump prepares to visit Arizona on Thursday, FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows that he is 0.8 points ahead of Harris in the battleground state, on 46.2 percent to the Vice President's 45.5 percent.
53% : However, polls have been mixed in the state, with some showing Trump in the lead by up to 3 points, and Trump overtaking Harris on September 4, according to FiveThirtyEight, which predicts that Trump is going to win the state in November.
50% : Other polls have shown Trump ahead, including the most recent Redfield and Wilton Strategies poll, conducted between September 6 and 9, which showed him 1 point ahead, and the most recent Morning Consult poll, published on September 8, which showed him 2 points ahead.
49% : Nationally, the most recent ActiVote poll, from September 9, showed Trump could see a small increase in Hispanic support, with 40 percent of Latinos polled saying they would vote for Trump, compared to 60 percent for Harris.
47% : Meanwhile, polls coming out of the state, including a New York Times/Siena College survey conducted between August 8 and 15, have shown Harris leading Trump by up to 5 points among likely voters.
47% : In 2020, around 33 percent of Latino voters voted for Trump in Arizona, up from 30 percent in 2016, according to the ASCOA.
43% : Trump is set to visit the Arizona on Thursday, when he will deliver remarks on what he describes as the "struggling" economy and the rising cost of housing in Tuscon.
35% : "Additionally, Hispanic communities know they were better off under President Trump's leadership; Trump delivered low unemployment rates, record low poverty, and record high homeownership to Hispanic communities.

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