Are Latinos Really Realigning Toward Republicans?

Jul 21, 2022 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    -10% Center

  • Reliability

    N/AN/A

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    96% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

N/A

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
"Most broadly, about three-fifths of all Latinos, including roughly that many Latinos without a college education, agreed in the PRRI polling that the Republican Party has been taken over by racists."
Positive
4% Conservative
"On gun control, the split was similar: A majority of Latinos took positions that align with Democrats and directly collide with the dominant view among Republicans."
Positive
2% Conservative
"Almost daily, a different New York Times writer offers some version of the claim that, as David Leonhardt wrote last week, the social liberalism of Democrats -- on immigration, marijuana, L.G.B.T. rights, affirmative action, abortion and more -- has simultaneously attracted progressive college graduates and repelled more culturally conservative working-class voters."
Negative
-6% Liberal
"In recent polling by the nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute, two-thirds of Latinos said abortion should be legal in all or most circumstances."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"In 2021 polling by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center, about two-thirds of Latinos -- including more than three-fifths of those without a college degree -- said they believed gun laws should be made more strict and supported a ban on both assault weapons and high-capacity ammunition magazines."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"In PRRI polling, more than two-thirds of Latinos opposed Trump's efforts to build a border wall and large majorities of Latinos think undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. should be eligible for citizenship, another idea opposed by almost all House and Senate Republicans."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"There is data right now that says Latinos are angry about the overstepping of Republicans on abortion, Tory Gavito, the president of Way to Win, a group that mobilizes support for causes and candidates that focus on communities of color, told me."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Take abortion."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"The survey also found that big majorities of Latinos opposed the recent Supreme Court decision overturning the constitutional right to abortion, measures Republican-controlled states are discussing to prohibit women from traveling across state lines to seek an abortion, and prohibiting women from receiving abortion medication through the mail."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"Democrats are becoming the party of upscale voters concerned more about issues like gun control and abortion rights."
Negative
-40% Liberal
"But even with greater than usual decoupling, the level of Latino discontent over the economy and Biden's performance is so great that few would be surprised if many Democratic candidates in November lag their usual support in that community."
Positive
30% Conservative
"Still, the Catalist and exit-poll data both show that Trump in 2020 improved the GOP performance among those non-college-educated minority voters from 2012, when each found that Mitt Romney carried only about one-sixth of them, and from 2016, when both found that Trump carried about one-fifth."
Positive
26% Conservative
"Still, the Catalist and exit-poll data both show that Trump in 2020 improved the GOP performance among those non-college-educated minority voters from 2012, when each found that Mitt Romney carried only about one-sixth of them, and from 2016, when both found that Trump carried about one-fifth."
Positive
26% Conservative
"Still, the Catalist and exit-poll data both show that Trump in 2020 improved the GOP performance among those non-college-educated minority voters from 2012, when each found that Mitt Romney carried only about one-sixth of them, and from 2016, when both found that Trump carried about one-fifth."
Positive
26% Conservative
"According to results provided to me by Edison, Trump won more than 90 percent of Latinos who felt he could better manage the economy -- and just 6 percent of those who thought Biden would do a better job producing prosperity."
Positive
0% Conservative
"According to results provided to me by Edison, Trump won more than 90 percent of Latinos who felt he could better manage the economy -- and just 6 percent of those who thought Biden would do a better job producing prosperity."
Positive
0% Conservative
"And there's no dispute that President Joe Biden's approval rating among Latinos has sagged, just as it has in most polls among other groups."
Positive
8% Conservative
"But gains for Trump were evident in every key state."
Positive
8% Conservative
"Taken together, all of these factors pushed Trump's Latino support to about 35 percent -- well above his 2016 showing but in range of what Republicans have carried in many other presidential races since 1980."
Positive
6% Conservative
"It argues that Republicans have become a multiracial working-class coalition even though the major data sources -- including the exit polls; the analysis done by Catalist, a Democratic targeting firm; and the Pew Research Center's Validated Voters study -- all show that Trump carried only about one-fourth of nonwhite voters without a college degree in 2020."
Positive
0% Conservative
"But he says he remains uncertain that Republicans can exploit that opportunity because of how the party is presenting itself in the Trump era."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Like Amandi and others, Odio attributes the GOP gains among Latinos since 2020 less to long-term cultural factors than to near-term economic ones -- first a belief among them that Trump was more committed than Biden to reopening the economy during earlier stages of the pandemic and, more recently, that Biden isn't significantly concerned with addressing intense dissatisfaction over inflation."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Like Amandi and others, Odio attributes the GOP gains among Latinos since 2020 less to long-term cultural factors than to near-term economic ones -- first a belief among them that Trump was more committed than Biden to reopening the economy during earlier stages of the pandemic and, more recently, that Biden isn't significantly concerned with addressing intense dissatisfaction over inflation."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Like Amandi and others, Odio attributes the GOP gains among Latinos since 2020 less to long-term cultural factors than to near-term economic ones -- first a belief among them that Trump was more committed than Biden to reopening the economy during earlier stages of the pandemic and, more recently, that Biden isn't significantly concerned with addressing intense dissatisfaction over inflation."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Each of those sources showed that Biden actually carried a notably higher share of white voters without a college degree (about one-third or more)."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"While centrists point fingers at the left for advancing cultural positions and language unpopular with Latinos, liberals say the real culprit is the party's moderate wing -- particularly Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema -- who have derailed the economic assistance embodied in Biden's Build Back Better legislation, which enjoyed strong Latino support in Navigator polling."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"While centrists point fingers at the left for advancing cultural positions and language unpopular with Latinos, liberals say the real culprit is the party's moderate wing -- particularly Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema -- who have derailed the economic assistance embodied in Biden's Build Back Better legislation, which enjoyed strong Latino support in Navigator polling."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Half a century later, those working-class white voters -- usually defined as having less than a four-year college education -- have become the indisputable foundation of the Republican coalition, especially in the era of Donald Trump."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"Biden's standing among Latinos has fallen sharply; multiple recent polls place his approval rating among them at less than 50 percent and sometimes at as little as 40 percent."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"In PRRI polling, more than two-thirds of Latinos opposed Trump's efforts to build a border wall and large majorities of Latinos think undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. should be eligible for citizenship, another idea opposed by almost all House and Senate Republicans."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"Whether the Democrats' recent struggles among Latinos is structural and mostly values-based, or personal to Biden and mostly economic-based, probably won't matter as much to the party as whether it can reverse that erosion, if not in November then certainly before voters pick the next president."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"The major data sources about the election results differ on exactly how much stronger Trump performed last election, but broadly they suggest that Biden won Latino voters in 2020 by roughly 30 percentage points, after Hillary Clinton had carried them in 2016 by about 40 percentage points."
Positive
6% Conservative
"The major data sources about the election results differ on exactly how much stronger Trump performed last election, but broadly they suggest that Biden won Latino voters in 2020 by roughly 30 percentage points, after Hillary Clinton had carried them in 2016 by about 40 percentage points."
Positive
6% Conservative
"The major data sources about the election results differ on exactly how much stronger Trump performed last election, but broadly they suggest that Biden won Latino voters in 2020 by roughly 30 percentage points, after Hillary Clinton had carried them in 2016 by about 40 percentage points."
Positive
6% Conservative
"Biden's fall has exerted a downward pull on Latino support for other Democrats, with multiple surveys showing the party holding a much narrower advantage among them than usual in the so-called generic ballot for the House of Representatives."
Negative
-22% Liberal
"There's no disagreement that Trump, despite all the controversies surrounding his hard-line immigration policies and his often harsh rhetoric about immigrants, ran better among Latinos in 2020 than he did in 2016."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"Everybody is looking for all the reasons for Biden's decline with Latinos, and it's like the suspect is there holding the smoking gun and it's always the frickin' economy, Odio said."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"We are seeing a conscious distinction that voters are making between ... whether they want to give Republicans power again despite their disappointment and sense of pessimism about President Biden's performance thus far, he told me."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"Hispanic voters will find a religious coection with many, many white Republicans, and that religious coection can prove far more culturally and politically consequential than any effort to create a politics based on ethnic or racial identity, David French, a conservative writer critical of Trump (and an Atlantic contributor), recently declared."
Negative
-28% Liberal
"Hispanic voters will find a religious coection with many, many white Republicans, and that religious coection can prove far more culturally and politically consequential than any effort to create a politics based on ethnic or racial identity, David French, a conservative writer critical of Trump (and an Atlantic contributor), recently declared."
Negative
-28% Liberal
"In the near term, the key question about Latinos in 2022 is the same as for other Democratic-leaning constituencies who are expressing disappointment in Biden: Will they decouple their views about the president from their choices in House, Senate, and gubernatorial races to a greater extent than has been common in the past few decades?"
Negative
-38% Liberal
"And that talk will undoubtedly grow louder if Biden's Latino support remains depressed moving closer to 2024."
Negative
-38% Liberal

Bias Meter

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-100%
Liberal

100%
Conservative

Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

52% : Most broadly, about three-fifths of all Latinos, including roughly that many Latinos without a college education, agreed in the PRRI polling that "the Republican Party has been taken over by racists."
51% : On gun control, the split was similar: A majority of Latinos took positions that align with Democrats and directly collide with the dominant view among Republicans.
47% : Almost daily, a different New York Times writer offers some version of the claim that, as David Leonhardt wrote last week, "the social liberalism of Democrats -- on immigration, marijuana, L.G.B.T. rights, affirmative action, abortion and more -- has simultaneously attracted progressive college graduates and repelled more culturally conservative working-class voters."
45% : In recent polling by the nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute, two-thirds of Latinos said abortion should be legal in all or most circumstances.
45% : In 2021 polling by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center, about two-thirds of Latinos -- including more than three-fifths of those without a college degree -- said they believed gun laws should be made more strict and supported a ban on both assault weapons and high-capacity ammunition magazines.
44% : In PRRI polling, more than two-thirds of Latinos opposed Trump's efforts to build a border wall and large majorities of Latinos think undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. should be eligible for citizenship, another idea opposed by almost all House and Senate Republicans.
41% : "There is data right now that says Latinos are angry about the overstepping of Republicans" on abortion, Tory Gavito, the president of Way to Win, a group that mobilizes support for causes and candidates that focus on communities of color, told me.
40% :Take abortion.
40% : The survey also found that big majorities of Latinos opposed the recent Supreme Court decision overturning the constitutional right to abortion, measures Republican-controlled states are discussing to prohibit women from traveling across state lines to seek an abortion, and prohibiting women from receiving abortion medication through the mail.
30% : "Democrats are becoming the party of upscale voters concerned more about issues like gun control and abortion rights.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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