Can Nevada Democrats Beat the Odds?

Mar 25, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    10% Center

  • Reliability

    70% ReliableGood

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    N/A

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

29% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
"Three of the state's four members of Congress are Democrats, as are both of its US senators; a solid majority of Nevadans are pro-choice, rejecting the anti-abortion extremism pushed by many in the GOP; and the state's electorate seems likely to pass a ranked-choice voting initiative this November."
Positive
10% Conservative
"Union organizing efforts in the Las Vegas area -- the Culinary Workers, aware of the notoriously anti-union positions that Trump has taken over the years, knocked on more than 1 million doors statewide in 2022 and are likely to launch a similarly impressive effort this year -- may still give the Democrats an edge as the election nears."
Negative
-8% Liberal
"But by early 2024, as much of the public soured on Biden's leadership, he was increasingly coming to believe that Trump could take the state in a squeaker."
Negative
-14% Liberal
"Last year, the strategist gave the edge to Biden when it came to any rematch with Trump."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who is challenging Trump for the nomination but knew she couldn't beat him in a caucus tailored to his strengths, made the strategic decision to sacrifice delegates by ruing as the highest-profile candidate in the primary, which she lost to the ballot option for None of these candidates."
Negative
-28% Liberal
"They're deeply suspicious of the early polls showing Trump considerably ahead and believe that Nevada, with its growing number of independent voters, has become increasingly difficult to poll accurately."
Negative
-34% Liberal
"Even though Las Vegas is thriving again, there's a lingering anger at the massive economic dislocation caused by the pandemic public health response -- and, he says, many people he knows who opposed it are going to vote for Trump as the face of opposition to lockdown mandates."
Negative
-34% Liberal
"Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020."
Negative
-50% Liberal
"But seasoned political observers argue that it remains a powerhouse in the state's pereially close elections, much as it was in 1998, when, against the odds, Reid eked out a reelection victory by a mere 428 votes."
Positive
18% Conservative
"But the result was a clear victory for the Democrats and a clear sign of the durability of the Reid machine."
Positive
16% Conservative
"Twenty years later, in 2018, Senator Jacky Rosen's victory margin was much larger than that, though still relatively small at roughly 50,000 votes."
Positive
10% Conservative
"Another Sanders volunteer, Judith Whitmer, became chair of the state party."
Positive
8% Conservative
"Nevada political observers expect that machine to come out in full force for Rosen and her reelection campaign this year."
Positive
8% Conservative
"After Sanders won the state caucus in 2020, DSA members like Armstrong went all-in on capturing the Democrats' party apparatus in Nevada; the next year, during elections for party positions, the DSA took over the state party."
Positive
6% Conservative
"A lot of folks have exited the Democratic Party and are now nonpartisan, says Marcie Armstrong, who first got involved in politics in 2016 as a Bernie Sanders supporter."
Positive
4% Conservative
"I like Biden's experience, but I don't know that he's the right man for the moment."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Biden has to work out a way to turn out the youth vote, he says."
Positive
0% Conservative
"The Biden administration is very pro-union."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"After all, the Harry Reid machine -- resurrected after its brief toppling by the DSA -- has a storied history of snatching narrow victories from the jaws of defeat."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Sisolak was blamed by many Nevadans for shuttering the Strip at the start of the pandemic -- which led to a spike in the unemployment rate to an eye-popping, and nation-topping, 29.5 percent a month later -- and for the subsequent extreme slowdown of the mainframe computers used in the state's antiquated unemployment insurance system."
Negative
-8% Liberal
"Union organizing efforts in the Las Vegas area -- the Culinary Workers, aware of the notoriously anti-union positions that Trump has taken over the years, knocked on more than 1 million doors statewide in 2022 and are likely to launch a similarly impressive effort this year -- may still give the Democrats an edge as the election nears."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Fed up with this parade of incompetence, party members voted out all the DSA officials, from Whitmer on down, in March 2023, returning control of the party to the determinedly moderate Harry Reid machine."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"Instead, Sisolak lost his reelection bid because the voters didn't like him and were willing to take a chance on a smooth-talking, tough-sounding Republican who, they believed, would be hemmed in by the progressive Legislature, even though Lombardo had promised to exercise his veto power against spending bills he didn't like and affordable housing bills opposed by landlords, and as a tool in the escalating culture wars that were consuming the country."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"Despite the energy in Trumpland, however, Nevada opinion pollsters and longtime observers of its politics tend to argue that the state, which went for the Democratic candidate in the past four elections, is still Biden's to lose."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"But by early 2024, as much of the public soured on Biden's leadership, he was increasingly coming to believe that Trump could take the state in a squeaker."
Positive
0% Conservative
"But by early 2024, as much of the public soured on Biden's leadership, he was increasingly coming to believe that Trump could take the state in a squeaker."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Steve Sisolak's election in 2018, which gave Democrats the trifecta of power in the state, was an exception -- part of the backlash triggered by Trump's shock presidential victory in 2016."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Steve Sisolak's election in 2018, which gave Democrats the trifecta of power in the state, was an exception -- part of the backlash triggered by Trump's shock presidential victory in 2016."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Sisolak's defeat by Lombardo four years later simply restored, in a sense, the balance that Nevadans have historically tended to favor."
Negative
-14% Liberal
"In Washoe County in the north, which is usually seen as the state's key swing county, Robert Beadles, a far-right transplant from California, has been using his financial clout to promote an extremist MAGA agenda, to shape a narrative that Biden's presidency has been one policy failure after another, and to fund a number of hard-right political candidates."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Sisolak's loss should have been taken as a flashing red light, a warning to Democrats of what could happen in the coming presidential election -- with Nevada's six potentially crucial Electoral College votes at stake -- if Biden doesn't find a way to close the enthusiasm gap and jazz voters up about his policies and his personality."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Sisolak's loss should have been taken as a flashing red light, a warning to Democrats of what could happen in the coming presidential election -- with Nevada's six potentially crucial Electoral College votes at stake -- if Biden doesn't find a way to close the enthusiasm gap and jazz voters up about his policies and his personality."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Ralston says that Democrats are concerned about Biden's low approval ratings, as well as his hemorrhaging of support among young people and Latinos, the latter of whom make up 20 percent of the state's voters."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Last year, the strategist gave the edge to Biden when it came to any rematch with Trump."
Positive
2% Conservative
"Last year, the strategist gave the edge to Biden when it came to any rematch with Trump."
Positive
2% Conservative
"But many Republican voters -- some of whom took to social media to declare that the absence of Trump's name from the primary ballot was yet another example of the deep state conspiracy against their MAGA leader -- simply ended up confused."
Negative
-22% Liberal
"It also showed both the Democratic Party and its on-the-ground union allies just how hard they will need to work to deliver the state to Biden in November."
Negative
-24% Liberal
"The residue of energy-sapping bitterness from the party's internal feuding, combined with a more general sense of alienation from the top of the ticket, contributed to the defeat of Nevada's Democratic governor, Steve Sisolak, by Joe Lombardo, a former sheriff, in 2022."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"Sisolak never recovered his political footing."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"The Harry Reid machine, which counts the large unions as key components, may have been damaged by the battle with the DSA for control of the Democratic Party."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who is challenging Trump for the nomination but knew she couldn't beat him in a caucus tailored to his strengths, made the strategic decision to sacrifice delegates by ruing as the highest-profile candidate in the primary, which she lost to the ballot option for None of these candidates."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who is challenging Trump for the nomination but knew she couldn't beat him in a caucus tailored to his strengths, made the strategic decision to sacrifice delegates by ruing as the highest-profile candidate in the primary, which she lost to the ballot option for None of these candidates."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Given that reality, Nevadans could side with the Democrats on a range of issues, vote in legislators who would support such policies, and still kick Biden to the curb."
Negative
-32% Liberal
"They're deeply suspicious of the early polls showing Trump considerably ahead and believe that Nevada, with its growing number of independent voters, has become increasingly difficult to poll accurately."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Even though Las Vegas is thriving again, there's a lingering anger at the massive economic dislocation caused by the pandemic public health response -- and, he says, many people he knows who opposed it are going to vote for Trump as the face of opposition to lockdown mandates."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Biden's is a chaos presidency because of the Afghan withdrawal, wars, inflation, the open border, he says."
Negative
-36% Liberal
"Trump voters are excited; Biden voters are not."
Positive
10% Conservative
"Trump voters are excited; Biden voters are not."
Positive
10% Conservative
"Senator Catherine Cortez Masto's squeaker of a reelection in 2022 showed that, even after Reid's death a year earlier, it remained a force to be reckoned with."
Negative
-38% Liberal
"Senator Catherine Cortez Masto's squeaker of a reelection in 2022 showed that, even after Reid's death a year earlier, it remained a force to be reckoned with."
Negative
-38% Liberal
"Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Since then, Armstrong has become increasingly angry at the legendary Nevada political machine set up by the late Senator Harry Reid, as party stalwarts worked to contain the insurgents affiliated with Sanders -- many of them members of the Democratic Socialists of America -- and to push back against progressive policy proposals."
Negative
-56% Liberal
"Since then, Armstrong has become increasingly angry at the legendary Nevada political machine set up by the late Senator Harry Reid, as party stalwarts worked to contain the insurgents affiliated with Sanders -- many of them members of the Democratic Socialists of America -- and to push back against progressive policy proposals."
Negative
-56% Liberal

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

55% : Three of the state's four members of Congress are Democrats, as are both of its US senators; a solid majority of Nevadans are pro-choice, rejecting the anti-abortion extremism pushed by many in the GOP; and the state's electorate seems likely to pass a ranked-choice voting initiative this November.
46% : Union organizing efforts in the Las Vegas area -- the Culinary Workers, aware of the notoriously anti-union positions that Trump has taken over the years, knocked on more than 1 million doors statewide in 2022 and are likely to launch a similarly impressive effort this year -- may still give the Democrats an edge as the election nears.
43% : But by early 2024, as much of the public soured on Biden's leadership, he was increasingly coming to believe that Trump could take the state "in a squeaker.
40% : Last year, the strategist gave the edge to Biden when it came to any rematch with Trump.
36% : Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who is challenging Trump for the nomination but knew she couldn't beat him in a caucus tailored to his strengths, made the strategic decision to sacrifice delegates by running as the highest-profile candidate in the primary, which she lost to the ballot option for "None of these candidates.
33% : They're deeply suspicious of the early polls showing Trump considerably ahead and believe that Nevada, with its growing number of independent voters, has become increasingly difficult to poll accurately.
33% : Even though Las Vegas is thriving again, there's a lingering anger at the massive economic dislocation caused by the pandemic public health response -- and, he says, many people he knows who opposed it are going to vote for Trump as the face of opposition to lockdown mandates.
25% : Trump's team has been aggressively courting those voters in recent months -- some national polls show Trump beating Biden among Latino voters, while a November poll of Latino voters in Nevada shows Biden still leading among that group, but by a far smaller margin than he commanded in 2020.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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