Donald Trump is crushing Ron DeSantis and GOP rivals, a New York Times/Siena College poll finds

Jul 31, 2023 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    -10% Center

  • Reliability

    25% ReliablePoor

  • Policy Leaning

    24% Somewhat Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    N/A

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

N/A

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
"In the head-to-head matchup, Trump was far ahead of DeSantis among Republicans who accept transgender people as the gender they identify with, and among those who do not; among those who want to fight corporations that promote woke left ideology, and among those who prefer to stay out of what businesses do; among those who want to send more military and economic aid to Ukraine, and among those who do not; among those who want to keep Social Security and Medicare benefits as they are; and among those who want to take steps to reduce the budget deficit."
Negative
-18% Liberal
"Trump leads DeSantis among Republicans who believe abortion should always be legal, and among those who believe it should always be illegal."
Negative
-32% Liberal
"Former Vice President Mike Pence, former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina each scored 3"
Positive
66% Conservative
"Former Vice President Mike Pence, former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina each scored 3"
Positive
66% Conservative
"Former Vice President Mike Pence, former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina each scored 3"
Positive
66% Conservative
"In interviews with poll respondents, a recurring theme emerged: They like DeSantis; they love Trump."
Positive
30% Conservative
"Yet, Trump enjoyed the support of 70"
Positive
24% Conservative
"Interestingly, the share of Republicans who said Trump was more fun than DeSantis (54"
Positive
22% Conservative
"That DeSantis is still so well liked after a drumbeat of news coverage questioning his ability to coect with voters, and more than $20 million in attack ads from a Trump super PAC, demonstrates a certain resiliency."
Positive
14% Conservative
"And again, it was Trump, by a lopsided margin of 67"
Positive
10% Conservative
"Marcel Paba, a 22-year-old server in Miami, said he liked what DeSantis had done for his state but didn't think the governor could overcome the enthusiasm for Trump."
Positive
10% Conservative
"If he wasn't ruing against Trump, DeSantis would be my very next choice, said Stanton Strohmenger, 48, a maintenance technician in Washington Township, Ohio."
Positive
8% Conservative
"But the intensity of the former president's support is a key difference as 43"
Positive
4% Conservative
"He has warned that Trump has saddled the party with a culture of losing in the Trump years and has held up his resounding 2022 reelection in the once-purple state of Florida as a model for the GOP."
Positive
0% Conservative
"A number of respondents interviewed drew a distinction between DeSantis' accomplishments in Florida's capital, Tallahassee, and Trump's in the White House."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"I don't see people wearing a Ron DeSantis hat anywhere, you know?"
Negative
-4% Liberal
"The poll shows that some of DeSantis' central campaign arguments -- that he is more electable than Trump and that he would govern more effectively -- have so far failed to break through."
Negative
-8% Liberal
"Donald Trump's my guy."
Negative
-8% Liberal
"Overall, Trump led DeSantis 54"
Negative
-10% Liberal
"Overall, Trump led DeSantis 54"
Negative
-10% Liberal
"That is a stark reminder that, for all the fretting among anti-Trump forces that the party would divide itself in a repeat of 2016, Trump is poised to trounce even a unified opposition."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"But he doesn't have that fire, if you will, that Trump has.Increasingly on the trail, DeSantis is calling attention to his blue-collar roots and his decision to serve in the military as reasons voters should support him as he runs against a self-professed billionaire."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"In the hypothetical one-on-one race, DeSantis was statistically tied with Trump among white college-educated voters."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"Even Republicans motivated by the type of issues that have fueled DeSantis' rise, such as fighting radical woke ideology, favored Trump."
Negative
-12% Liberal
"Equally problematic for DeSantis is that those woke-focused voters still preferred Trump, 61"
Negative
-12% Liberal
"By contrast, DeSantis is stuck in an effective tie with Trump, edging him 49"
Negative
-14% Liberal
"He trailed Trump by a less-daunting 12 points among white voters with college degrees, 37"
Negative
-14% Liberal
"Former President Donald Trump is dominating his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, leading his nearest challenger, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by a landslide 37 percentage points nationally among the likely Republican primary electorate, according to the first New York Times/Siena College poll of the 2024 campaign."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Former President Donald Trump is dominating his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, leading his nearest challenger, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by a landslide 37 percentage points nationally among the likely Republican primary electorate, according to the first New York Times/Siena College poll of the 2024 campaign."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Republicans who described themselves as very conservative favored Trump by a 50-point margin, 65"
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Yet, even if all those candidates disappeared and DeSantis got a hypothetical one-on-one race against Trump, he would still lose by a 2-to-1 margin, 62"
Negative
-16% Liberal
"In an era of American politics defined by its volatility, Trump's legal troubles -- his trials threaten to overlap with primary season -- pose an especially unpredictable wild card."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"DeSantis narrowly edged Trump on being seen as likable and moral."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"But the poll showed Trump lapping DeSantis among likely Republican primary voters earning less than $50,000, 65"
Negative
-16% Liberal
"In the head-to-head matchup, Trump was far ahead of DeSantis among Republicans who accept transgender people as the gender they identify with, and among those who do not; among those who want to fight corporations that promote woke left ideology, and among those who prefer to stay out of what businesses do; among those who want to send more military and economic aid to Ukraine, and among those who do not; among those who want to keep Social Security and Medicare benefits as they are; and among those who want to take steps to reduce the budget deficit."
Negative
-10% Liberal
"Still, no other serious Trump challenger has emerged besides DeSantis."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"He might say mean things and make all the men cry, because all the men are wearing your wife's underpants and you can't be a man anymore, said David Green, 69, a retail manager in Somersworth, New Hampshire, said of Trump."
Negative
-20% Liberal
"The ability to defeat President Joe Biden and to enact a conservative agenda is at the core of DeSantis' appeal to Republicans."
Negative
-22% Liberal
"A strong majority of Republicans surveyed, 58"
Positive
14% Conservative
"A strong majority of Republicans surveyed, 58"
Positive
14% Conservative
"On a range of issues, the poll suggests it will be difficult for DeSantis to break through against Trump on policy arguments alone."
Negative
-24% Liberal
"For now, though, Trump appears to match both the surly mood of the Republican electorate, 89"
Negative
-26% Liberal
"But as long as Trump's there, Trump's the man, said Daniel Brown, 58, a retired technician at a nuclear plant from Bumpass, Virginia."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"But as long as Trump's there, Trump's the man, said Daniel Brown, 58, a retired technician at a nuclear plant from Bumpass, Virginia."
Negative
-26% Liberal
"Trump has proven his clout, said Mallory Butler, 39, of Polk County, Florida."
Negative
-30% Liberal
"Only 19"
Negative
-30% Liberal
"I think Donald Trump is going to carry a lot of baggage to the election with him, said Hilda Bulla, 68, of Davidson County, North Carolina, who supports DeSantis."
Negative
-32% Liberal
"Yet, Trump's grip on the Republican Party is so strong that the Times/Siena poll found that in a head-to-head contest with DeSantis, Trump still received 22"
Negative
-32% Liberal
"Yet, Trump's grip on the Republican Party is so strong that the Times/Siena poll found that in a head-to-head contest with DeSantis, Trump still received 22"
Negative
-32% Liberal
"DeSantis signed a strict six-week abortion ban that Trump has criticized as too harsh."
Negative
-34% Liberal
"There are just more die-hard fans of Trump than there are of Ron DeSantis."
Negative
-50% Liberal
"There are just more die-hard fans of Trump than there are of Ron DeSantis."
Negative
-50% Liberal

Bias Meter

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-100%
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100%
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

41% : In the head-to-head matchup, Trump was far ahead of DeSantis among Republicans who accept transgender people as the gender they identify with, and among those who do not; among those who want to fight corporations that "promote woke left ideology," and among those who prefer to stay out of what businesses do; among those who want to send more military and economic aid to Ukraine, and among those who do not; among those who want to keep Social Security and Medicare benefits as they are; and among those who want to take steps to reduce the budget deficit.
34% : Trump leads DeSantis among Republicans who believe abortion should always be legal, and among those who believe it should always be illegal.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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