Washington Monthly Article RatingFlorida Is (Hypothetically) Winnable for Biden and the Democrats | Washington Monthly
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The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.
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| Sentence | Sentiment | Bias |
|---|---|---|
| "The memo also argues that Biden is uniquely strong with seniors, an influential, reliable, and large voting group and accuses Trump and Senator Rick Scott (who is up for re-election this year and only won by a tenth of a percentage point in 2018) of plotting to cut Social Security and Medicare." | Positive | 44% Conservative |
| "Trump won it twice, but only by 1.2 points in 2016 and 3.4 in 2020." | Positive | 34% Conservative |
| "In a March poll of Florida voters by WMNF radio, Trump led by 6 points overall and led in every age group." | Positive | 18% Conservative |
| "Not only did Trump grow his Florida margin in 2020, but he also did so in an election year when nearly every other state ticked bluer." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "Whether to compete for the Sunshine State is a vexing challenge for political strategists." | Negative | -2% Liberal |
| "No presidential candidate has won Florida with a margin bigger than 5.7 since George H. W. Bush in 1988, with Bill Clinton wiing it once and Barack Obama twice." | Negative | -18% Liberal |
| "Trump has been scrambling to have it both ways on abortion, taking credit for overturning Roe v. Wade to galvanize Republican base voters while criticizing total or near-total bans to woo swing voters." | Negative | -26% Liberal |
| "And the relevance of the two local elections mentioned may be overstated, as both Duval County (mainly composed of Jacksonville) and Keen's House District 35 voted for Biden over Trump in 2020." | Negative | -30% Liberal |
| "Many of these pro-choice Republicans are not single-issue voters -- if they were, they wouldn't be Republicans -- and will still vote for Trump." | Negative | -34% Liberal |
| "As long as Biden is outpacing Trump in the fundraising war, and as long as Biden doesn't collapse in Florida trial heat polling, early investment in Florida makes sense." | Negative | -42% Liberal |
| "Without polls that show Biden ahead of or tied with Donald Trump in the Sunshine State, any argument about wiability will be based on hypotheticals." | Negative | -48% Liberal |
| "They claimed it forced the relatively cash-constrained Trump to sweat Florida and spend less in other battleground states where Trump fell short." | Negative | -50% Liberal |
| "Either way, we can't attribute DeSantis's fall mainly to lost support among Trump diehards following his failed presidential bid." | Negative | -50% Liberal |
| "The Biden campaign is well positioned to squeeze Trump on this issue, rightly blaming him for creating the Supreme Court that scrapped Roe and made terrible bans possible, and potentially-if Trump continues to lurch to the middle awkwardly -- stoking a rift between Trump and anti-abortion absolutists in the Florida GOP." | Negative | -94% Liberal |
| "The memo also argues that Biden is uniquely strong with seniors, an influential, reliable, and large voting group and accuses Trump and Senator Rick Scott (who is up for re-election this year and only won by a tenth of a percentage point in 2018) of plotting to cut Social Security and Medicare." | Negative | -4% Liberal |
| "The memo also argues that Biden is uniquely strong with seniors, an influential, reliable, and large voting group and accuses Trump and Senator Rick Scott (who is up for re-election this year and only won by a tenth of a percentage point in 2018) of plotting to cut Social Security and Medicare." | Negative | -4% Liberal |
| "The memo also argues that Biden is uniquely strong with seniors, an influential, reliable, and large voting group and accuses Trump and Senator Rick Scott (who is up for re-election this year and only won by a tenth of a percentage point in 2018) of plotting to cut Social Security and Medicare." | Negative | -4% Liberal |
| "Trump won it twice, but only by 1.2 points in 2016 and 3.4 in 2020." | Positive | 18% Conservative |
| "Biden may show strength with seniors in some national polling, but that has yet to materialize in Florida fully." | Positive | 20% Conservative |
| "In a March poll of Florida voters by WMNF radio, Trump led by 6 points overall and led in every age group." | Positive | 10% Conservative |
| "In 2020, the Biden and Trump campaigns spent a combined $264 million just on Florida advertising." | Positive | 4% Conservative |
| "In 2020, the Biden and Trump campaigns spent a combined $264 million just on Florida advertising." | Positive | 4% Conservative |
| "Ron DeSantis won the 2018 governor's race by less than half a percentage point, governed like a right-wing lunatic, then was rewarded in 2022 with a nearly 20-point landslide re-election." | Positive | 8% Conservative |
| "(Senator Scott is also on record supporting DeSantis's six-week ban.)" | Positive | 6% Conservative |
| "(Senator Scott is also on record supporting DeSantis's six-week ban.)" | Positive | 6% Conservative |
| "Not only did Trump grow his Florida margin in 2020, but he also did so in an election year when nearly every other state ticked bluer." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "(The press release from the Biden campaign indicates that its new abortion-themed ad Trust is being placed on digital platforms in Florida but not on Florida TV stations.)" | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "According to polls from Florida Atlantic University, DeSantis's approve-disapprove numbers went from 54-43 in July 2023 to 50-49 in November 2023." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "However, in the FAU crosstabs, DeSantis's approval over the latter half of 2023 went up among Republicans and down among independents and Democrats." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "And as Politico Playbook rightly notes, We'll believe the Biden campaign believes this when it runs its first TV ads in Florida, which was not included in its recent $30 million ad buy." | Negative | -2% Liberal |
| "In 2020, Democrats had more money to burn than Republicans and, after Biden won, rationalized the hundreds of millions spent." | Negative | -4% Liberal |
| "But can abortion put the swing back in the Sunshine State?President Joe Biden's re-election campaign took the unusual step of publicly releasing a strategy memo, contending Florida is a wiable one for President Biden, especially given Trump's weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "But can abortion put the swing back in the Sunshine State?President Joe Biden's re-election campaign took the unusual step of publicly releasing a strategy memo, contending Florida is a wiable one for President Biden, especially given Trump's weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "But can abortion put the swing back in the Sunshine State?President Joe Biden's re-election campaign took the unusual step of publicly releasing a strategy memo, contending Florida is a wiable one for President Biden, especially given Trump's weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "But abortion does appear to have helped accelerate the bluing of Arizona, where in the 2022 gubernatorial race, Democrat Katie Hobbs edged MAGA Republican Kari Lake by less than a point, following two double-digit victories by Republican Doug Ducey." | Negative | -6% Liberal |
| "And the memo claims that Florida voters are already turning away from MAGA politics, citing how Doa Deegan, a Democrat, won the [2023] Jacksonville mayoral race for just the second time in the last three decades, flipping the county by 15 points and, in a January 2024 special election, Tom Keen won a battleground State House District that had previously been won by [Governor Ron] DeSantis by 13 points." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "And the memo claims that Florida voters are already turning away from MAGA politics, citing how Doa Deegan, a Democrat, won the [2023] Jacksonville mayoral race for just the second time in the last three decades, flipping the county by 15 points and, in a January 2024 special election, Tom Keen won a battleground State House District that had previously been won by [Governor Ron] DeSantis by 13 points." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "Some poll movement would likely spook the Trump team and necessitate a redeployment of financial resources." | Negative | -12% Liberal |
| "No presidential candidate has won Florida with a margin bigger than 5.7 since George H. W. Bush in 1988, with Bill Clinton wiing it once and Barack Obama twice." | Negative | -12% Liberal |
| "No presidential candidate has won Florida with a margin bigger than 5.7 since George H. W. Bush in 1988, with Bill Clinton wiing it once and Barack Obama twice." | Negative | -12% Liberal |
| "(And Al Gore probably would have won it in a fair contest.)" | Negative | -18% Liberal |
| "The Biden campaign memo was released the same day as the Florida Supreme Court decision upholding a near-total abortion ban while also placing an abortion rights amendment on the November ballot." | Negative | -20% Liberal |
| "Can abortion prompt a 3.4 percentage point shift in the presidential race and flip the state to Biden?" | Negative | -20% Liberal |
| "Perhaps getting his clock cleaned in the presidential primary indirectly affected Floridians by stripping DeSantis of his cocksure strut and refocusing attention on his weak record." | Negative | -22% Liberal |
| "WMNF didn't release all the crosstab data, only emphasizing Trump's oddly wide 18-point lead among voters under 30." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "In a bar graph, Trump's lead among voters 70 and up looks small, which can be taken as a victory for Biden, considering in the 2020 Florida exit poll, he lost seniors by 10 points." | Negative | -10% Liberal |
| "In a bar graph, Trump's lead among voters 70 and up looks small, which can be taken as a victory for Biden, considering in the 2020 Florida exit poll, he lost seniors by 10 points." | Negative | -10% Liberal |
| "Nevertheless, it would be unfair to say that the Biden campaign memo is off-target." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "Left out of it is an indicia of voter backlash to Florida's hard-right turn: DeSantis's tanking job approval ratings." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "The memo lists not only DeSantis's far-right record on social issues but also his failure to rein in Florida's high housing and healthcare costs." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "The state Supreme Court ruling came down this week, but the six-week ban DeSantis signed doesn't go into effect until May 1." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "During the primary, he called DeSantis's ban a terrible mistake, but on Tuesday, he dodged a question about it, saying he would make a statement next week." | Negative | -24% Liberal |
| "If the Trump campaign believes Florida is no longer purple, a Florida feint won't work well." | Negative | -26% Liberal |
| "And the relevance of the two local elections mentioned may be overstated, as both Duval County (mainly composed of Jacksonville) and Keen's House District 35 voted for Biden over Trump in 2020." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "And the relevance of the two local elections mentioned may be overstated, as both Duval County (mainly composed of Jacksonville) and Keen's House District 35 voted for Biden over Trump in 2020." | Positive | 0% Conservative |
| "DeSantis's increasingly unpopular, over-caffeinated conservatism has roiled Florida on several fronts ahead of his six-week ban becoming a reality." | Negative | -32% Liberal |
| "Many of these pro-choice Republicans are not single-issue voters -- if they were, they wouldn't be Republicans -- and will still vote for Trump." | Negative | -18% Liberal |
| "I understand the chronic pessimism about Florida; I voiced it myself after DeSantis's 2022 blowout." | Negative | -34% Liberal |
| "As long as Biden is outpacing Trump in the fundraising war, and as long as Biden doesn't collapse in Florida trial heat polling, early investment in Florida makes sense." | Negative | -10% Liberal |
| "As long as Biden is outpacing Trump in the fundraising war, and as long as Biden doesn't collapse in Florida trial heat polling, early investment in Florida makes sense." | Negative | -10% Liberal |
| "As long as Biden is outpacing Trump in the fundraising war, and as long as Biden doesn't collapse in Florida trial heat polling, early investment in Florida makes sense." | Negative | -10% Liberal |
| "Without polls that show Biden ahead of or tied with Donald Trump in the Sunshine State, any argument about wiability will be based on hypotheticals." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "Without polls that show Biden ahead of or tied with Donald Trump in the Sunshine State, any argument about wiability will be based on hypotheticals." | Positive | 2% Conservative |
| "They claimed it forced the relatively cash-constrained Trump to sweat Florida and spend less in other battleground states where Trump fell short." | Negative | -26% Liberal |
| "Either way, we can't attribute DeSantis's fall mainly to lost support among Trump diehards following his failed presidential bid." | Negative | -28% Liberal |
| "Media mogul Michael Bloomberg kicked in another $100 million on Biden's behalf." | Negative | -54% Liberal |
| "Media mogul Michael Bloomberg kicked in another $100 million on Biden's behalf." | Negative | -54% Liberal |
| "The Biden campaign is well positioned to squeeze Trump on this issue, rightly blaming him for creating the Supreme Court that scrapped Roe and made terrible bans possible, and potentially-if Trump continues to lurch to the middle awkwardly -- stoking a rift between Trump and anti-abortion absolutists in the Florida GOP." | Positive | 32% Conservative |
| "The Biden campaign is well positioned to squeeze Trump on this issue, rightly blaming him for creating the Supreme Court that scrapped Roe and made terrible bans possible, and potentially-if Trump continues to lurch to the middle awkwardly -- stoking a rift between Trump and anti-abortion absolutists in the Florida GOP." | Positive | 32% Conservative |
| "The Biden campaign is well positioned to squeeze Trump on this issue, rightly blaming him for creating the Supreme Court that scrapped Roe and made terrible bans possible, and potentially-if Trump continues to lurch to the middle awkwardly -- stoking a rift between Trump and anti-abortion absolutists in the Florida GOP." | Positive | 32% Conservative |
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Contributing sentiments towards policy:
72% : The memo also argues that Biden is "uniquely strong with seniors, an influential, reliable, and large voting group" and accuses Trump and Senator Rick Scott (who is up for re-election this year and only won by a tenth of a percentage point in 2018) of plotting to cut Social Security and Medicare.67% : Trump won it twice, but only by 1.2 points in 2016 and 3.4 in 2020.
59% : In a March poll of Florida voters by WMNF radio, Trump led by 6 points overall and led in every age group.
51% : Not only did Trump grow his Florida margin in 2020, but he also did so in an election year when nearly every other state ticked bluer.
49% : Whether to compete for the Sunshine State is a vexing challenge for political strategists.
41% : No presidential candidate has won Florida with a margin bigger than 5.7 since George H. W. Bush in 1988, with Bill Clinton winning it once and Barack Obama twice.
37% : Trump has been scrambling to have it both ways on abortion, taking credit for overturning Roe v. Wade to galvanize Republican base voters while criticizing total or near-total bans to woo swing voters.
35% : And the relevance of the two local elections mentioned may be overstated, as both Duval County (mainly composed of Jacksonville) and Keen's House District 35 voted for Biden over Trump in 2020.
33% : Many of these pro-choice Republicans are not single-issue voters -- if they were, they wouldn't be Republicans -- and will still vote for Trump.
29% : As long as Biden is outpacing Trump in the fundraising war, and as long as Biden doesn't collapse in Florida trial heat polling, early investment in Florida makes sense.
26% : Without polls that show Biden ahead of or tied with Donald Trump in the Sunshine State, any argument about winnability will be based on hypotheticals.
25% : They claimed it forced the relatively cash-constrained Trump to sweat Florida and spend less in other battleground states where Trump fell short.
25% : Either way, we can't attribute DeSantis's fall mainly to lost support among Trump diehards following his failed presidential bid.
3% : The Biden campaign is well positioned to squeeze Trump on this issue, rightly blaming him for creating the Supreme Court that scrapped Roe and made "terrible" bans possible, and potentially-if Trump continues to lurch to the middle awkwardly -- stoking a rift between Trump and anti-abortion absolutists in the Florida GOP.
*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.