Prediction Market: Trump Has 93% Chance of Being GOP Nominee

  • Bias Rating

    24% Somewhat Conservative

  • Reliability

    40% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    32% Medium Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    84% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

33% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
"Further, recent surveys also show Trump leading Biden both nationally and in key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pesylvania, and Wisconsin."
Positive
18% Conservative
"Polymarket, which describes itself as the world's largest prediction market, shows Trump with a 93 percent chance of wiing the Republican nomination for president."
Positive
8% Conservative
"In a 2024 general election scenario, Trump has a 54 percent chance of wiing, compared to 33 percent predicting Biden."
Negative
-2% Liberal
"Another two percent goes to other, while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis -- both of whom have backed Trump -- have a one percent chance each."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley -- who refused to say on Sunday if she would support Trump if he is the GOP nominee -- only has a four percent chance of becoming the nominee."
Negative
-24% Liberal
"Vivek Drops Out of Race, Throws Full Support Behind TrumpMeanwhile, the prediction market gives Biden a less likely chance than Trump of being his party's nominee -- 78 percent."
Negative
-58% Liberal
"Further, recent surveys also show Trump leading Biden both nationally and in key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pesylvania, and Wisconsin."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Further, recent surveys also show Trump leading Biden both nationally and in key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pesylvania, and Wisconsin."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Polymarket, which describes itself as the world's largest prediction market, shows Trump with a 93 percent chance of wiing the Republican nomination for president."
Positive
4% Conservative
"RELATED -- Harris on Claims Voting for Biden Is Voting for Her: Most Women Have Had Similar ExperiencesOverall, Polymarket notes a 78 percent chance of a Trump vs. Biden rematch, although there is a 27 percent chance Biden will drop out of the presidential race."
Negative
-2% Liberal
"RELATED -- Harris on Claims Voting for Biden Is Voting for Her: Most Women Have Had Similar ExperiencesOverall, Polymarket notes a 78 percent chance of a Trump vs. Biden rematch, although there is a 27 percent chance Biden will drop out of the presidential race."
Negative
-2% Liberal
"RELATED -- Harris on Claims Voting for Biden Is Voting for Her: Most Women Have Had Similar ExperiencesOverall, Polymarket notes a 78 percent chance of a Trump vs. Biden rematch, although there is a 27 percent chance Biden will drop out of the presidential race."
Negative
-2% Liberal
"In a 2024 general election scenario, Trump has a 54 percent chance of wiing, compared to 33 percent predicting Biden."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Another two percent goes to other, while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis -- both of whom have backed Trump -- have a one percent chance each."
Positive
0% Conservative
"Another two percent goes to other, while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis -- both of whom have backed Trump -- have a one percent chance each."
Positive
0% Conservative
"The forecast allocates an eight percent chance to California Gov. Gavin Newsom, seven percent chance to Michelle Obama, four percent to Vice President Kamala Harris, and two percent to other."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"The forecast allocates an eight percent chance to California Gov. Gavin Newsom, seven percent chance to Michelle Obama, four percent to Vice President Kamala Harris, and two percent to other."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"The forecast allocates an eight percent chance to California Gov. Gavin Newsom, seven percent chance to Michelle Obama, four percent to Vice President Kamala Harris, and two percent to other."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Another six percent goes to Michelle Obama, three percent to Newsom, and two percent to independent candidate Robert F. Keedy Jr.The predictions come as Trump moves to the next state, South Carolina, in the GOP primary race, with poll after poll showing him besting Haley by double digits."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Another six percent goes to Michelle Obama, three percent to Newsom, and two percent to independent candidate Robert F. Keedy Jr.The predictions come as Trump moves to the next state, South Carolina, in the GOP primary race, with poll after poll showing him besting Haley by double digits."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Another six percent goes to Michelle Obama, three percent to Newsom, and two percent to independent candidate Robert F. Keedy Jr.The predictions come as Trump moves to the next state, South Carolina, in the GOP primary race, with poll after poll showing him besting Haley by double digits."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Another six percent goes to Michelle Obama, three percent to Newsom, and two percent to independent candidate Robert F. Keedy Jr.The predictions come as Trump moves to the next state, South Carolina, in the GOP primary race, with poll after poll showing him besting Haley by double digits."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley -- who refused to say on Sunday if she would support Trump if he is the GOP nominee -- only has a four percent chance of becoming the nominee."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley -- who refused to say on Sunday if she would support Trump if he is the GOP nominee -- only has a four percent chance of becoming the nominee."
Negative
-16% Liberal
"Vivek Drops Out of Race, Throws Full Support Behind TrumpMeanwhile, the prediction market gives Biden a less likely chance than Trump of being his party's nominee -- 78 percent."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Vivek Drops Out of Race, Throws Full Support Behind TrumpMeanwhile, the prediction market gives Biden a less likely chance than Trump of being his party's nominee -- 78 percent."
Negative
-4% Liberal
"Polymarket is giving former President Donald Trump a 93 percent chance of becoming the Republican nominee for president, and it is forecasting that he will defeat President Joe Biden in a general election matchup as of Monday afternoon."
Positive
4% Conservative
"Polymarket is giving former President Donald Trump a 93 percent chance of becoming the Republican nominee for president, and it is forecasting that he will defeat President Joe Biden in a general election matchup as of Monday afternoon."
Positive
4% Conservative

Bias Meter

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

59% : Further, recent surveys also show Trump leading Biden both nationally and in key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
54% : Polymarket, which describes itself as "the world's largest prediction market," shows Trump with a 93 percent chance of winning the Republican nomination for president.
49% : In a 2024 general election scenario, Trump has a 54 percent chance of winning, compared to 33 percent predicting Biden.
48% : Another two percent goes to "other," while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis -- both of whom have backed Trump -- have a one percent chance each.
38% : Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley -- who refused to say on Sunday if she would support Trump if he is the GOP nominee -- only has a four percent chance of becoming the nominee.
21% : Vivek Drops Out of Race, Throws "Full" Support Behind TrumpMeanwhile, the prediction market gives Biden a less likely chance than Trump of being his party's nominee -- 78 percent.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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