What states are voting on Super Tuesday: The ultimate guide

Mar 05, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    98% Extremely Conservative

  • Reliability

    60% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    100% Extremely Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    N/A

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

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10% Positive

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

62% : The latest survey from YouGov taken February 2-12 shows Trump ahead by 71 points (80 percent to 9 percent).
61% : That margin shrunk to just 1.3 percent in 2020 with Trump earning 49.9 percent to Biden's 48.6 percent.
57% : Trump is ahead of Haley by 36.2 percentage points in a FiveThirtyEight average of polling in Massachusetts.
57% : Polling: A survey conducted January 24-29 by SurveyUSA in Minnesota shows Trump 62 percentage points ahead of Haley (76 percent to 14 percent).
56% : Polling: A FiveThirtyEight polling average has Trump 68.6 percentage points ahead of Haley (83.6 percent to 15 percent).
55% : The latest taken February 3-6 by Advantage Inc./Fiscal Alliance Foundation has Trump with 65 percent to Haley's 22 percent - a 43 percent margin.
54% : Polling: A Morning Consult poll taken January 23-February 4 of likely voters in Alabama puts Trump a commanding 75 percent ahead of Haley (87 percent to 12 percent).
54% : Polling: A February 15-19 poll by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center shows Trump 58 percentage points ahead of Haley in Maine (77 percent to 19 percent).
54% : Polling: Trump is ahead of Haley by 53.6 percent in North Carolina, according to a FiveThirtyEight polling average in the state.
54% : Trump is 69.9 percentage points ahead of Haley in the Lone Star State, according to FiveThirtyEight's polling average.
54% : Polling: Trump is 63.3 percentage points ahead of Haley in Virginia, according to FiveThirtyEight polling average.
53% : Polling: A Morning Consult poll conducted in Oklahoma on January 23 through February 4 puts Trump a whopping 77 percentage points ahead of Haley (88 percent to 11 percent).
53% : Polling: A Dan Jones & Associates poll conducted January 16-21 reveals that Trump is ahead of Haley by 27 percentage points among Utah's registered voters (49 percent to 22 percent).
50% : And now that the ruling has been handed down on the national level, Trump will remain on the ballot in Maine for the time being.
49% : Trump is 54.2 percentage points ahead of Haley in California (73.1 percent to 18.9 percent), according to FiveThirtyEight's average of the state's primary election surveys.
48% : But hypothetical general election match-ups from Alaska Survey Research conducted in October 2023 put Trump 8 percentage points ahead of President Joe Biden.
48% : But the decision was appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, putting a stay on the Colorado decision and allowing Trump to be included on printouts of the 2024 primary ballot in the state.
48% : A Morning Consult poll has Trump 59 percent ahead of Haley (78 percent to 19 percent).
47% : The latest poll from Capen Analytics on February 21 shows Trump with 64 percent and Haley with 36 percent in North Carolina - a 28-point margin.
47% : A chain of migrants lock arms as they wade into the Rio Grande River to cross into Eagle Pass, Texas from Mexico on Feb. 24, 2024Trump (pictured at the border in Jan. 2021) says that if elected president again he will initiate the largest deportation of illegal immigrants in U.S. historyUTAH (caucus)Delegate Count: 40 - winner take mostVoting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pmEarly in-person voting?:
45% : In both the 2016 and 200 general elections, 62 percent of Alabama voted for Trump.
45% : Donald Trump was always the likely candidate for Republicans in 2024 - but after sweeping the first four primary states in January and February, his nomination became all but locked-up.
45% : There are several polls for a general matchup between Trump and Biden that put that president a handful of points ahead of his predecessor.
43% : Former United Nations Amb.
43% : California's Republican Party changed its procedures this year that most view as a way to favor Trump.
42% : Polls have Trump far ahead in most of the states set to vote, meaning many of the results could be lopsided.
42% : A poll from Echelon Insights in September 2023 put Trump 29 percentage points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who was still in the primary race at the time.
41% : After these contests, Trump stands with 273 delegates to Haley's 43.
39% : Pictured: Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Waterford Township, Michigan on Feb. 17, 2024The University of Alabama hosted the fourth Republican presidential primary debate on Dec. 6, 2023 with former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy.
38% : as it heard arguments in an appeal of a Colorado case disqualifying Trump from the 2024 ballot under Clause 3 of the 14th Amendment alleging he 'engaged in insurrection' on Jan. 6, 2021.
36% : In the 2016 presidential election, Trump won with 49.8 percent of the vote, which was 3.6 percent more than Hillary Clinton.
33% : The ruling by the 6-3 conservative panel paves the way to defunct lawsuits in other states - like Maine and Illinois - that are also trying to boot Trump from the ballot under the 14th Amendment.MAINEDelegate Count: 20 - winner take mostVoting hours on Election Day: 6am to 8pmEarly in-person voting?:
32% : Trump refused to participate in primary debatesALASKADelegate Count: 29 - proportionalVoting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pmEarly in-person voting?:
30% : Trump made remarks Monday from Mar-a-Lago after the Supreme Court ruled 9-0 against a Colorado decision that sought to remove the former president from the state's 2024 ballotCOLORADODelegate Count: 37 - winner take mostVoting hours on Election Day: 7am to 7pmEarly in-person voting?:
29% : She decided Trump should be removed under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment to the Constitution - the same argument Colorado used in its case.
28% : Polling: A University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll conducted among likely Republican voters in Vermont from February 15-19 shows 61 percent prefer Trump versus the 31 percent who prefer Haley.
26% : Previous polling in the state put Trump up against DeSantis.
24% : Super Tuesday is her last chance to prevent Trump from picking up enough delegates to sink her chances of an upset.
20% : Polling: There appears to be no readily available polling for the presidential primary between Trump and Haley in Colorado.
19% : The Justices claim that Trump violated Section 3 of the 14th Amendment by participating in an insurrection on January 6, 2021.
18% : Polling: There appears to be no readily available polling for the presidential primary between Trump and Haley in Arkansas.
18% : While the High Court did not rule on whether Trump engaged in an insurrection on January 6, 2021, it did say only Congress can decide if Trump is, or is not, eligible to run.
17% : Trump refused to participate in any primary debates.
17% : Colorado's Supreme Court ruled on December 19, 2023 that Trump is ineligible to appear on the state's primary ballot.
17% : As the state bears the brunt of the southern border crisis, Texas voters are fired up this election cycle and want to get Trump back in the White House to reverse Biden's immigration policies.
15% : Trump already handily defeated Haley in all four of the early primary states - including her home state of South Carolina - by double digits.
11% : Since Trump and Haley are the only viable remaining candidates, it's likely Trump will walk away with considerably more than the required threshold to avoid a runoff.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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